Country profile 路 public, aggregate figures
Belarus
Belarus fields 48,000 active soldiers and 300,000 reservists, with 500 tanks and 60 combat aircraft. It shares a land border with 5 countries. Below is how the model plays out a war on each of those borders.
Belarus in numbers
Active soldiers
48,000
Reservists
300,000
Tanks
500
Armoured vehicles
1,500
Artillery
1,000
Combat aircraft
60
Helicopters
50
Defence budget
$1.0bn
GDP
$75bn
Population
9.2m
Compiled from public sources and pinned to a versioned snapshot. Values marked as estimates are labelled as such on the data sources page. Not operational information.
Simulated wars involving Belarus
The Baltic states vs Russia
Side A achieves its objectives after 27 days
Belarus vs Latvia
Ceasefire, front frozen after 334 days
Belarus vs Lithuania
Partial objective achieved after 365 days
Europe vs Russia, without the United States
Ceasefire, front frozen after 270 days
The European Union vs Russia
Ceasefire, front frozen after 305 days
The Joint Expeditionary Force vs Russia
Side A achieves its objectives after 25 days
NATO's eastern flank vs Russia
Side A achieves its objectives after 53 days
NATO vs Russia
Defender holds after 210 days
Poland and Germany vs Russia
Ceasefire, front frozen after 350 days
Poland vs Belarus
Ceasefire, front frozen after 181 days
Russia vs Belarus
Ceasefire, front frozen after 151 days
Ukraine vs Belarus
Ceasefire, front frozen after 145 days
Neighbours
Build your own scenario with Belarus
Pick who it fights, who joins in, the season and how much of the reserve is called up, then watch the front move day by day.
Model-generated simulation on public, country-level data. Not a prediction. No operational, classified or real-time information is used.