Warscape
Simulated matchup · a model, not a forecast

🇬🇷 Greece vs 🇦🇱 AlbaniaMilitary comparison, and what happens if they fight

If Greece attacked Albania today, with no allies joining on either side, this is what the WARSCAPE engine produced: Side A achieves its objectives after 80 days.

How the two militaries compare

Greece keeps 16 times as many soldiers under arms. Greece has tanks and Albania has none. Greece has combat aircraft and Albania has none. Greece spends 20 times as much on defence. Public, country-level figures from the data snapshot the run was pinned to (2026.09). See data sources for where each number comes from.

GreeceAlbania
130,000Active soldiers8,000
220,000Reservists2,000
1,200Tanks0
900Artillery30
200Combat aircraft0
200Helicopters10
$8.0bnDefence budget$0.4bn
10.4mPopulation2.8m

What the war cost

Greece
attacked
1,450
soldiers killed or wounded
38
tanks destroyed
18
aircraft lost
+10
areas of land gained
58%
support at home, at the end
Albania
defended
198
soldiers killed or wounded
0
tanks destroyed
0
aircraft lost
−10
areas of land lost
31%
support at home, at the end

What decided it

01
Mobilisation helped Greece
Reservists mobilised: 81,767 vs 755.
02
Deployed combat power helped Greece
Average deployed combat power: 35 vs 2 model units.
03
Air situation helped Greece
Average share of air control for Greece: 85%.
04
Political cohesion helped Greece
Average cohesion: 61% vs 49%.
05
Logistics helped Greece
Average front-line supply efficiency: 76% vs 71%.
Think it would go differently?

This run assumed no allies, winter, full mobilization for the attacker and partial for the defender, and no nuclear weapons. Change any of that and watch it play out day by day on the map.

Other borders in this neighbourhood

🇬🇷 Greece vs 🇧🇬 Bulgaria
Ceasefire, front frozen after 103 days
🇬🇷 Greece vs 🇲🇰 North Macedonia
Side A achieves its objectives after 30 days
🇦🇱 Albania vs 🏳️ Kosovo
Defender holds after 333 days
🇦🇱 Albania vs 🇲🇰 North Macedonia
Defender holds after 227 days
🇦🇱 Albania vs 🇲🇪 Montenegro
Defender holds after 365 days
🇹🇷 Turkey vs 🇬🇷 Greece
Partial objective achieved after 365 days
All matchups →
After 80 simulated days the conflict between Greece and Albania ended with: Side A achieves its objectives (capital captured). Aggregate personnel losses within the model: 1,450 (Greece) and 198 (Albania). This page reports one seeded run of a model on public, aggregate data. It is not a prediction, and no operational information is used.

Model-generated simulation on public, country-level data. Not a prediction. No operational, classified or real-time information is used.