Warscape
Simulated matchup · a model, not a forecast

Sweden vs DenmarkMilitary comparison, and what happens if they fight

If Sweden attacked Denmark today, with no allies joining on either side, this is what the WARSCAPE engine produced: Defender holds after 365 days.

How the two sides compare

Sweden and Denmark field armies of a similar size. Sweden has 2.7 times the tanks. Sweden has 2.8 times the combat aircraft. Both spend about the same on defence. Public, country-level figures from the data snapshot the run was pinned to (2026.09). See data sources for where each number comes from.

SwedenDenmark
14,850Active soldiers13,100
21,500Reservists44,200
120Tanks44
50Artillery20
94Combat aircraft34
50Helicopters30
$16.7bnDefence budget$14.8bn
10.6mPopulation6.0m

What the war cost

Sweden
attacked
4,175
soldiers killed or wounded
18
tanks destroyed
61
aircraft lost
0
land changed hands
50%
support at home, at the end
Denmark
defended
1,733
soldiers killed or wounded
4
tanks destroyed
39
aircraft lost
0
land changed hands
69%
support at home, at the end

What decided it

01
Mobilisation helped Sweden
Reservists mobilised: 186,409 vs 52,450.
02
Air situation helped Sweden
Average share of air control for Sweden: 67%.
03
Deployed combat power helped Sweden
Average deployed combat power: 13 vs 8 model units.
04
Logistics helped Sweden
Average front-line supply efficiency: 98% vs 78%.
05
Political cohesion helped Denmark
Average cohesion: 66% vs 77%.
Think it would go differently?

This run assumed no allies, winter, full mobilization for the attacker and partial for the defender, and no nuclear weapons. Change any of that and watch it play out day by day on the map.

Other borders in this neighbourhood

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All matchups →
After 365 simulated days the conflict between Sweden and Denmark ended with: Defender holds (duration limit reached). Aggregate personnel losses within the model: 4,175 (Sweden) and 1,733 (Denmark). This page reports one seeded run of a model on public, aggregate data. It is not a prediction, and no operational information is used.

Model-generated simulation on public, country-level data. Not a prediction. No operational, classified or real-time information is used.