Warscape
Simulated matchup · a model, not a forecast

🇷🇸 Serbia vs 🇧🇦 Bosnia & Herz.Military comparison, and what happens if they fight

If Serbia attacked Bosnia & Herz. today, with no allies joining on either side, this is what the WARSCAPE engine produced: Defender holds after 318 days.

How the two militaries compare

Serbia keeps 2.5 times as many soldiers under arms. Serbia has 5.8 times the tanks. Serbia has combat aircraft and Bosnia & Herz. has none. Serbia spends 7.5 times as much on defence. Public, country-level figures from the data snapshot the run was pinned to (2026.09). See data sources for where each number comes from.

SerbiaBosnia & Herz.
25,000Active soldiers10,000
50,000Reservists5,000
230Tanks40
300Artillery100
25Combat aircraft0
50Helicopters10
$1.5bnDefence budget$0.2bn
6.6mPopulation3.2m

What the war cost

Serbia
attacked
2,390
soldiers killed or wounded
21
tanks destroyed
14
aircraft lost
0
land changed hands
35%
support at home, at the end
Bosnia & Herz.
defended
360
soldiers killed or wounded
1
tanks destroyed
0
aircraft lost
0
land changed hands
35%
support at home, at the end

What decided it

01
Mobilisation helped Serbia
Reservists mobilised: 125,759 vs 3,903.
02
Deployed combat power helped Serbia
Average deployed combat power: 10 vs 2 model units.
03
Air situation helped Serbia
Average share of air control for Serbia: 76%.
04
Political cohesion helped Serbia
Average cohesion: 48% vs 41%.
05
Logistics helped Serbia
Average front-line supply efficiency: 74% vs 68%.
Think it would go differently?

This run assumed no allies, winter, full mobilization for the attacker and partial for the defender, and no nuclear weapons. Change any of that and watch it play out day by day on the map.

Other borders in this neighbourhood

🇷🇸 Serbia vs 🇭🇷 Croatia
Defender holds after 258 days
🇧🇬 Bulgaria vs 🇷🇸 Serbia
Defender holds after 190 days
🇭🇷 Croatia vs 🇧🇦 Bosnia & Herz.
Defender holds after 337 days
🇧🇦 Bosnia & Herz. vs 🇲🇪 Montenegro
Defender holds after 210 days
🇭🇺 Hungary vs 🇷🇸 Serbia
Defender holds after 304 days
🇷🇸 Serbia vs 🏳️ Kosovo
Defender holds after 365 days
All matchups →
After 318 simulated days the conflict between Serbia and Bosnia & Herz. ended with: Defender holds (prolonged stalemate). Aggregate personnel losses within the model: 2,390 (Serbia) and 360 (Bosnia & Herz.). This page reports one seeded run of a model on public, aggregate data. It is not a prediction, and no operational information is used.

Model-generated simulation on public, country-level data. Not a prediction. No operational, classified or real-time information is used.