Warscape
Simulated matchup · a model, not a forecast

🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇦🇹 AustriaMilitary comparison, and what happens if they fight

If Italy attacked Austria today, with no allies joining on either side, this is what the WARSCAPE engine produced: Partial objective achieved after 365 days.

How the two militaries compare

Italy keeps 7.5 times as many soldiers under arms. Italy has 4.0 times the tanks. Italy has 13 times the combat aircraft. Italy spends 8.8 times as much on defence. Public, country-level figures from the data snapshot the run was pinned to (2026.09). See data sources for where each number comes from.

ItalyAustria
165,000Active soldiers22,000
18,000Reservists120,000
200Tanks50
150Artillery80
200Combat aircraft15
350Helicopters60
$35.0bnDefence budget$4.0bn
59.0mPopulation9.1m

What the war cost

Italy
attacked
16,886
soldiers killed or wounded
46
tanks destroyed
105
aircraft lost
+12
areas of land gained
29%
support at home, at the end
Austria
defended
4,930
soldiers killed or wounded
9
tanks destroyed
15
aircraft lost
−12
areas of land lost
39%
support at home, at the end

What decided it

01
Deployed combat power helped Italy
Average deployed combat power: 38 vs 7 model units.
02
Air situation helped Italy
Average share of air control for Italy: 82%.
03
Mobilisation helped Italy
Reservists mobilised: 461,471 vs 106,101.
04
Logistics helped Italy
Average front-line supply efficiency: 55% vs 31%.
05
Political cohesion helped Austria
Average cohesion: 48% vs 55%.
Think it would go differently?

This run assumed no allies, winter, full mobilization for the attacker and partial for the defender, and no nuclear weapons. Change any of that and watch it play out day by day on the map.

Other borders in this neighbourhood

🇦🇹 Austria vs 🇨🇭 Switzerland
Defender holds after 295 days
🇨🇿 Czechia vs 🇦🇹 Austria
Ceasefire, front frozen after 345 days
🇦🇹 Austria vs 🇸🇰 Slovakia
Defender holds after 365 days
🇩🇪 Germany vs 🇦🇹 Austria
Ceasefire, front frozen after 213 days
🇭🇺 Hungary vs 🇦🇹 Austria
Defender holds after 212 days
🇮🇹 Italy vs 🇸🇮 Slovenia
Side A achieves its objectives after 65 days
All matchups →
After 365 simulated days the conflict between Italy and Austria ended with: Partial objective achieved (duration limit reached). Aggregate personnel losses within the model: 16,886 (Italy) and 4,930 (Austria). This page reports one seeded run of a model on public, aggregate data. It is not a prediction, and no operational information is used.

Model-generated simulation on public, country-level data. Not a prediction. No operational, classified or real-time information is used.