Warscape
Simulated matchup · a model, not a forecast

Germany vs LuxembourgMilitary comparison, and what happens if they fight

If Germany attacked Luxembourg today, with no allies joining on either side, this is what the WARSCAPE engine produced: Side A achieves its objectives after 5 days.

How the two sides compare

Germany keeps 164 times as many soldiers under arms. Germany has tanks and Luxembourg has none. Germany has combat aircraft and Luxembourg has none. Germany spends 60 times as much on defence. Public, country-level figures from the data snapshot the run was pinned to (2026.09). See data sources for where each number comes from.

GermanyLuxembourg
179,850Active soldiers1,100
34,100Reservists0
295Tanks0
150Artillery5
209Combat aircraft0
250Helicopters3
$121.2bnDefence budget$2.0bn
83.5mPopulation0.7m

What the war cost

Germany
attacked
95
soldiers killed or wounded
0
tanks destroyed
1
aircraft lost
+1
areas of land gained
74%
support at home, at the end
Luxembourg
defended
1
soldiers killed or wounded
0
tanks destroyed
0
aircraft lost
−1
areas of land lost
59%
support at home, at the end

What decided it

01
Mobilisation helped Germany
Reservists mobilised: 6,766 vs 0.
02
Deployed combat power helped Germany
Average deployed combat power: 31 vs 1 model units.
03
Air situation helped Germany
Average share of air control for Germany: 91%.
04
Political cohesion helped Germany
Average cohesion: 74% vs 69%.
05
Logistics helped Germany
Average front-line supply efficiency: 84% vs 82%.
Think it would go differently?

This run assumed no allies, winter, full mobilization for the attacker and partial for the defender, and no nuclear weapons. Change any of that and watch it play out day by day on the map.

Other borders in this neighbourhood

Germany vs Belgium
Ceasefire, front frozen after 316 days
Germany vs Czechia
Side A achieves its objectives after 176 days
Germany vs Denmark
Side A achieves its objectives after 96 days
Germany vs Austria
Ceasefire, front frozen after 213 days
Belgium vs Luxembourg
Side A achieves its objectives after 125 days
Germany vs Switzerland
Defender holds after 365 days
All matchups →
After 5 simulated days the conflict between Germany and Luxembourg ended with: Side A achieves its objectives (capital captured). Aggregate personnel losses within the model: 95 (Germany) and 1 (Luxembourg). This page reports one seeded run of a model on public, aggregate data. It is not a prediction, and no operational information is used.

Model-generated simulation on public, country-level data. Not a prediction. No operational, classified or real-time information is used.