Warscape
Simulated matchup · a model, not a forecast

🇫🇷 France vs 🇩🇪 GermanyMilitary comparison, and what happens if they fight

If France attacked Germany today, with no allies joining on either side, this is what the WARSCAPE engine produced: Defender holds after 274 days.

How the two militaries compare

France and Germany field armies of a similar size. Germany has 1.4 times the tanks. Their air forces are a similar size. Germany spends 1.5 times as much on defence. Public, country-level figures from the data snapshot the run was pinned to (2026.09). See data sources for where each number comes from.

FranceGermany
205,000Active soldiers182,000
40,000Reservists35,000
220Tanks300
110Artillery150
250Combat aircraft220
400Helicopters250
$62.0bnDefence budget$90.0bn
68.0mPopulation84.0m

What the war cost

France
attacked
31,134
soldiers killed or wounded
92
tanks destroyed
129
aircraft lost
0
land changed hands
38%
support at home, at the end
Germany
defended
11,165
soldiers killed or wounded
65
tanks destroyed
169
aircraft lost
0
land changed hands
74%
support at home, at the end

What decided it

01
Mobilisation helped France
Reservists mobilised: 392,574 vs 25,330.
02
Logistics helped France
Average front-line supply efficiency: 95% vs 63%.
03
Air situation helped France
Average share of air control for France: 65%.
04
Political cohesion helped Germany
Average cohesion: 55% vs 75%.
05
Deployed combat power helped France
Average deployed combat power: 75 vs 52 model units.
Think it would go differently?

This run assumed no allies, winter, full mobilization for the attacker and partial for the defender, and no nuclear weapons. Change any of that and watch it play out day by day on the map.

Other borders in this neighbourhood

🇩🇪 Germany vs 🇧🇪 Belgium
Ceasefire, front frozen after 316 days
🇩🇪 Germany vs 🇨🇿 Czechia
Side A achieves its objectives after 176 days
🇩🇪 Germany vs 🇩🇰 Denmark
Side A achieves its objectives after 96 days
🇩🇪 Germany vs 🇦🇹 Austria
Ceasefire, front frozen after 213 days
🇫🇷 France vs 🇧🇪 Belgium
Side A achieves its objectives after 155 days
🇩🇪 Germany vs 🇨🇭 Switzerland
Defender holds after 365 days
All matchups →
After 274 simulated days the conflict between France and Germany ended with: Defender holds (prolonged stalemate). Aggregate personnel losses within the model: 31,134 (France) and 11,165 (Germany). This page reports one seeded run of a model on public, aggregate data. It is not a prediction, and no operational information is used.

Model-generated simulation on public, country-level data. Not a prediction. No operational, classified or real-time information is used.